Detroit Red Wings
DET · 16-14-7
2–3
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 18-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
16012113231
FLA
161717320
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 16-14-7 · FLA 18-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Panthers
The Red Wings created the better chances (2.7 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Ville Husso allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 31 and 20 shots on goal.
DET 2.7 xG · 31 shots
FLA 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 01:04 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Gustav Forsling · 1st 02:33 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 06:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 08:11 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 16:17 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 66.
DET 66%FLA 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 01:04 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Gustav Forsling · 1st 02:33 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 06:28 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 08:11 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 16:17 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.