Detroit Red Wings
DET · 17-15-7
7–5
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 26-14-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
382926723
WPG
17217213537
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 17-15-7 · WPG 26-14-1 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Jets
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.7 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 7–5 anyway. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 4.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
DET 1.9 xG · 23 shots
WPG 3.7 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Walman · 1st 01:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 07:21 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Oskar Sundqvist · 1st 15:27 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Neal Pionk · 1st 17:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 02:57 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Sam Gagner · 2nd 09:46 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Nate Schmidt · 2nd 12:08 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 17:38 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 00:33 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 01:52 · 6–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 14:55 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
12
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:40 · 7–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 22.
DET 22%WPG 78%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Walman · 1st 01:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 07:21 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Oskar Sundqvist · 1st 15:27 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Neal Pionk · 1st 17:17 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 02:57 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Sam Gagner · 2nd 09:46 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Nate Schmidt · 2nd 12:08 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 17:38 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 00:33 · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 01:52 · GWG · 6–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 14:55 · PP · 6–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
12
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:40 · EN · 7–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/22 saves · 6 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 4.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.