DET
4–1
TOR
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 18-15-7
4–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-10-7
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
191628423
TOR
0818017133
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 18-15-7 · TOR 26-10-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.2 expected goals); the Red Wings won 4–1. Ville Husso stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 23 and 33 shots on goal.
DET 2.0 xG · 23 shots
TOR 2.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 08:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 03:49 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Rasmus Sandin · 2nd 06:18 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 18:07 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Moritz Seider · 3rd 19:40 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 46.
DET 46%TOR 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 08:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 03:49 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Rasmus Sandin · 2nd 06:18 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 18:07 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Moritz Seider · 3rd 19:40 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
