Detroit Red Wings
DET · 21-20-8
2–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 29-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
110112010232
EDM
0938210527
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 21-20-8 · EDM 29-18-4 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 2–5. Ville Husso allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 32 shots
EDM 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 10:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 03:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Warren Foegele · 2nd 03:38 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Warren Foegele · 2nd 11:55 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 19:51 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 15:38 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Evander Kane · 3rd 17:33 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 47.
DET 47%EDM 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 10:24 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 03:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Warren Foegele · 2nd 03:38 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Warren Foegele · 2nd 11:55 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 19:51 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 15:38 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Evander Kane · 3rd 17:33 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.