DET
1–5
COL
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 30-29-9
1–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 40-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
11608010134
COL
1621225523
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 30-29-9 · COL 40-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 1–5. Ville Husso allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 34 shots
COL 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.3
2nd
0.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Devon Toews · 1st 05:01 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Pius Suter · 1st 06:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:24 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bowen Byram · 2nd 17:37 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Lars Eller · 3rd 04:20 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 05:16 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 58.
DET 58%COL 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Devon Toews · 1st 05:01 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Pius Suter · 1st 06:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:24 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bowen Byram · 2nd 17:37 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Lars Eller · 3rd 04:20 · SH · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 05:16 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/2 saves · 0 GA · 0.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
