Detroit Red Wings
DET · 31-31-9
3–4
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 32-33-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
2907112328
STL
163907422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 31-31-9 · STL 32-33-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings fell to the Blues
The Red Wings let a 2–0 lead get away: the Blues came back with four unanswered goals — Schenn's equalizer — and won 3–4. Magnus Hellberg allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.7, on 28 and 22 shots on goal.
DET 2.4 xG · 28 shots
STL 1.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.3
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 00:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Jake Walman · 1st 01:28 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 1st 09:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 03:31 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
· 2nd 12:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 14:08 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Alex Chiasson · 3rd 17:44 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 64.
DET 64%STL 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 00:38 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Jake Walman · 1st 01:28 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 1st 09:53 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 03:31 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
· 2nd 12:40 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 14:08 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Alex Chiasson · 3rd 17:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/13 saves · 3 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/9 saves · 1 GA · 0.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.