DET
7–4
PIT
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 32-32-9
7–4
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 36-28-10
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
31004411725
PIT
09314116439
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
DET 32-32-9 · PIT 36-28-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
Red Wings beat the Penguins
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.6 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 7–4 anyway. Casey DeSmith allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 39 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.3 xG · 25 shots
PIT 3.6 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 11:03 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Andrew Copp · 1st 11:37 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 16:07 · 3–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jason Zucker · 2nd 04:40 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 07:46 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jeff Carter · 2nd 08:41 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
David Perron · 3rd 04:05 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Josh Archibald · 3rd 05:26 · 4–4 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
David Perron · 3rd 16:20 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
David Perron · 3rd 17:05 · 6–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
11
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:23 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 29.
DET 29%PIT 71%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 11:03 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Andrew Copp · 1st 11:37 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 16:07 · 3–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jason Zucker · 2nd 04:40 · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 07:46 · PP · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jeff Carter · 2nd 08:41 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
David Perron · 3rd 04:05 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Josh Archibald · 3rd 05:26 · 4–4
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
David Perron · 3rd 16:20 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
David Perron · 3rd 17:05 · 6–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
11
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:23 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/24 saves · 6 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
