DET
3–2
CAR
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 33-32-9
3–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-18-9
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
181717322
CAR
01021409233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 33-32-9 · CAR 47-18-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Hurricanes
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.1 to 1.6 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Walman's winner came with 0:04 left. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 22 shots on goal.
DET 1.6 xG · 22 shots
CAR 3.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 00:59 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brent Burns · 2nd 00:42 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 04:18 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:26 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Jake Walman · 3rd 19:56 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 24.
DET 24%CAR 76%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 00:59 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brent Burns · 2nd 00:42 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 04:18 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:26 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Jake Walman · 3rd 19:56 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
