DET
6–7
BUF
Final / SO · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 35-33-10
6–7
Final / SOL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 38-32-7
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
DET
2821428020632
BUF
31617210031736
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–4
DET 35-33-10 · BUF 38-32-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–4
Red Wings fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.6 expected goals); the Red Wings lost it in a shootout. Devon Levi allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.6, on 32 and 36 shots on goal.
DET 3.2 xG · 32 shots
BUF 3.6 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 04:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Austin Czarnik · 1st 10:38 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Larkin · 1st 15:05 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Henri Jokiharju · 1st 17:10 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Cozens · 1st 19:08 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 01:33 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Alex Chiasson · 2nd 16:04 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Simon Edvinsson · 2nd 16:52 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 03:20 · 4–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 04:32 · 4–6 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
11
Jonatan Berggren · 3rd 08:02 · 5–6 · backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
12
David Perron · 3rd 19:00 · 6–6 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 45.
DET 45%BUF 55%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 04:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Austin Czarnik · 1st 10:38 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Larkin · 1st 15:05 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Henri Jokiharju · 1st 17:10 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Cozens · 1st 19:08 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 01:33 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Alex Chiasson · 2nd 16:04 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Simon Edvinsson · 2nd 16:52 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 03:20 · 4–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 04:32 · 4–6
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
11
Jonatan Berggren · 3rd 08:02 · 5–6
Backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
12
David Perron · 3rd 19:00 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 6–6
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Casey Mittelstadt, Henri Jokiharju · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–5
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Sabres
Goaltending
30/36 saves · 6 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/32 saves · 6 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
