Detroit Red Wings
DET · 1-1-0
6–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
21422127642
TBL
2101718425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 1-1-0 · TBL 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Lightning
The Red Wings earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, and a 6–4 win to show for it. Ville Husso allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 42 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 3.5 xG · 42 shots
TBL 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 05:11 · 1–0 · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 09:46 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 1st 12:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 14:35 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 02:01 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 10:53 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
J.T. Compher · 2nd 15:23 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 04:44 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Victor Hedman · 3rd 09:39 · 5–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Moritz Seider · 3rd 19:59 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 69.
DET 69%TBL 31%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 05:11 · 1–0
Poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 09:46 · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 1st 12:52 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 14:35 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 02:01 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 10:53 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
J.T. Compher · 2nd 15:23 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 04:44 · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Victor Hedman · 3rd 09:39 · PP · 5–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Moritz Seider · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.