Detroit Red Wings
DET · 3-1-0
6–3
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
17312210629
PIT
1609218333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 3-1-0 · PIT 2-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Penguins
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.2 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
DET 2.4 xG · 29 shots
PIT 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 00:53 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 12:23 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Ben Chiarot · 2nd 05:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Copp · 2nd 15:42 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
David Perron · 2nd 17:49 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
6
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 03:37 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 13:03 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:28 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
9
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 18:49 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 37.
DET 37%PIT 63%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 00:53 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 12:23 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Ben Chiarot · 2nd 05:21 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Copp · 2nd 15:42 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
David Perron · 2nd 17:49 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
6
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 03:37 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 13:03 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
9
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 18:49 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Austin Czarnik, Shayne Gostisbehere · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
7
Erik Karlsson, Marcus Pettersson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.