Detroit Red Wings
DET · 5-2-1
1–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 4-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0918019136
WPG
21001128429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 5-2-1 · WPG 4-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Jets
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.8 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 1–4. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
DET 3.0 xG · 36 shots
WPG 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 16:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kyle Connor · 1st 17:30 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 03:18 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Mason Appleton · 3rd 10:26 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 18:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 52.
DET 52%WPG 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 16:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kyle Connor · 1st 17:30 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 03:18 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Mason Appleton · 3rd 10:26 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 18:58 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.