Detroit Red Wings
DET · 7-5-2
2–3
Final / OTL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 6-5-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
081141403229
MTL
110061615327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 7-5-2 · MTL 6-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Red Wings lost it in overtime on Caufield's goal. The Canadiens scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 29 shots
MTL 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.3 · 0.3
OT
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 07:02 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Christian Fischer · 2nd 16:44 · 1–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 00:26 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 06:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · OT 04:16 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 46.
DET 46%MTL 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 07:02 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Christian Fischer · 2nd 16:44 · 1–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 00:26 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 06:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · OT 04:16 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.