Detroit Red Wings
DET · 8-6-3
2–3
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 9-5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
07212010229
TOR
0509315329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 8-6-3 · TOR 9-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Maple Leafs
The Red Wings let a 2–0 lead get away: the Maple Leafs came back with three unanswered goals — Nylander's equalizer — and won 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 29 shots on goal.
DET 2.8 xG · 29 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Daniel Sprong · 2nd 12:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:44 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 03:50 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
William Nylander · 3rd 13:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 14:27 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 53.
DET 53%TOR 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Daniel Sprong · 2nd 12:52 · PS · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:44 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 03:50 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
William Nylander · 3rd 13:03 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 14:27 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.