DET
4–1
MIN
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 11-6-3
4–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-10-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
1101627423
MIN
16014018138
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 11-6-3 · MIN 5-10-4 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.2 expected goals); the Red Wings won 4–1. Alex Lyon stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.2, on 23 and 38 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 23 shots
MIN 2.2 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Perron · 1st 04:06 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 19:48 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 16:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
David Perron · 3rd 01:29 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 19:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 57.
DET 57%MIN 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Perron · 1st 04:06 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 19:48 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 16:53 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
David Perron · 3rd 01:29 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
