Detroit Red Wings
DET · 15-12-4
3–4
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 12-19-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
09111212332
ANA
3101804422
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 15-12-4 · ANA 12-19-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Ducks
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.3 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 3–4. Ville Husso allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.3, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
DET 3.5 xG · 32 shots
ANA 3.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Radko Gudas · 1st 02:23 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 08:19 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Adam Henrique · 1st 18:49 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Troy Terry · 2nd 01:46 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
5
Jeff Petry · 2nd 02:29 · 1–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 07:17 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 17:31 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 53.
DET 53%ANA 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Radko Gudas · 1st 02:23 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 08:19 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Adam Henrique · 1st 18:49 · PP · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Troy Terry · 2nd 01:46 · GWG · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
5
Jeff Petry · 2nd 02:29 · 1–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 07:17 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 17:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
6/8 saves · 2 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.