DET
5–4
NSH
Final / OT · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 17-15-4
5–4
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-16-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
212042611523
NSH
1142121902437
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 17-15-4 · NSH 19-16-1 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Predators
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.4 expected goals); the Red Wings won it in overtime on Raymond's goal. Juuse Saros allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.4, on 23 and 37 shots on goal.
DET 3.6 xG · 23 shots
NSH 3.4 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.9 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 04:02 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (17%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 10:43 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake Walman · 1st 19:38 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 11:40 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 13:49 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 09:29 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Jake Walman · 3rd 11:13 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 12:24 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Lucas Raymond · OT 02:13 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 53.
DET 53%NSH 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 04:02 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (17%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 10:43 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake Walman · 1st 19:38 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 11:40 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 13:49 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 09:29 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Jake Walman · 3rd 11:13 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 12:24 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Lucas Raymond · OT 02:13 · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
