DET
2–3
EDM
Final / OT · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 20-16-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 22-15-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
06052700218
EDM
01601121911347
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 20-16-5 · EDM 22-15-1 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Oilers
The Red Wings were outchanced (5.5 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Nurse's goal. Alex Lyon stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 47 and 18 shots on goal.
DET 2.0 xG · 18 shots
EDM 5.5 xG · 47 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.1 · 1.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 2.4
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Copp · 3rd 03:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Zach Hyman · 3rd 14:00 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Olli Maatta · 3rd 16:03 · 2–2 · poke shot, a great chance (43%)
5
Darnell Nurse · OT 01:20 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 10.
DET 10%EDM 90%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Copp · 3rd 03:34 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Zach Hyman · 3rd 14:00 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Olli Maatta · 3rd 16:03 · 2–2
Poke shot, a great chance (43%)
5
Darnell Nurse · OT 01:20 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
44/47 saves · 3 GA · 5.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
