Detroit Red Wings
DET · 21-16-5
5–3
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 20-11-8
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
1841903530
LAK
19010217336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
DET 21-16-5 · LAK 20-11-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
Red Wings beat the Kings
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Red Wings won 5–3. Cam Talbot allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 30 and 36 shots on goal.
DET 2.8 xG · 30 shots
LAK 2.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.3 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 02:44 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Quinton Byfield · 1st 06:58 · 1–1 · slap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 09:17 · 2–1 · between legs shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 16:22 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 17:26 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Andrew Copp · 2nd 19:47 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 03:07 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Quinton Byfield · 3rd 05:38 · 5–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 48.
DET 48%LAK 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 02:44 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Quinton Byfield · 1st 06:58 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 09:17 · PP · 2–1
Between legs shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 16:22 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 17:26 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Andrew Copp · 2nd 19:47 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 03:07 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Quinton Byfield · 3rd 05:38 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Daniel Sprong, Joseph Veleno · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.