Detroit Red Wings
DET · 24-18-5
4–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 28-13-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
21207215434
DAL
1742506538
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 24-18-5 · DAL 28-13-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.9 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 4–5. Alex Lyon allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 38 shots on goal.
DET 2.9 xG · 34 shots
DAL 2.9 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 2.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 03:24 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
David Perron · 1st 14:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 16:53 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 00:22 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 04:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Esa Lindell · 2nd 11:40 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
7
Roope Hintz · 2nd 15:12 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 11:28 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
J.T. Compher · 3rd 16:46 · 4–5 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 49.
DET 49%DAL 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 03:24 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
David Perron · 1st 14:33 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 16:53 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 00:22 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 04:35 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Esa Lindell · 2nd 11:40 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
7
Roope Hintz · 2nd 15:12 · GWG · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 11:28 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
J.T. Compher · 3rd 16:46 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
1st period
1
Thomas Harley, Roope Hintz · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2
Shayne Gostisbehere, Lucas Raymond · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/6 saves · 0 GA · 0.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.