DET
5–2
VGK
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 26-18-5
5–2
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 29-15-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
3801526529
VGK
21001109230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 26-18-5 · VGK 29-15-6 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.9 expected goals); the Red Wings won 5–2. Logan Thompson allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 29 shots
VGK 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
1.5 · 1.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 05:04 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jake Walman · 1st 07:00 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 08:02 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Paul Cotter · 1st 10:55 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Joseph Veleno · 1st 18:17 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Andrew Copp · 3rd 11:47 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 18:30 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 45.
DET 45%VGK 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 05:04 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jake Walman · 1st 07:00 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 08:02 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Paul Cotter · 1st 10:55 · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Joseph Veleno · 1st 18:17 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Andrew Copp · 3rd 11:47 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
