Detroit Red Wings
DET · 26-18-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-25-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
1301111100225
OTT
08290612325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–3
DET 26-18-6 · OTT 20-25-2 · Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–3
Red Wings fell to the Senators
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.2 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Pinto's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.3 xG · 25 shots
OTT 3.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 08:57 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 03:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 14:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 11:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Shane Pinto · OT 02:05 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 36.
DET 36%OTT 64%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 08:57 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 03:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 14:32 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 11:15 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Shane Pinto · OT 02:05 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
5
Thomas Chabot, Vladimir Tarasenko · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.