Detroit Red Wings
DET · 27-18-6
4–3
Final / OTW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 34-12-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
110082812428
VAN
0831201100331
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 27-18-6 · VAN 34-12-6 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Canucks
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Red Wings erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Rasmussen's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Walman's goal. Casey DeSmith allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
DET 2.8 xG · 28 shots
VAN 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
OT
0.5 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 00:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Nils Hoglander · 2nd 01:09 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Filip Hronek · 2nd 11:10 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Elias Pettersson · 2nd 13:27 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Daniel Sprong · 3rd 02:34 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 07:51 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jake Walman · OT 00:23 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 49.
DET 49%VAN 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 00:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Nils Hoglander · 2nd 01:09 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Filip Hronek · 2nd 11:10 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Elias Pettersson · 2nd 13:27 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Daniel Sprong · 3rd 02:34 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 07:51 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jake Walman · OT 00:23 · PS · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.