Detroit Red Wings
DET · 30-20-6
2–1
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 35-18-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
0501111212230
COL
011190902131
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 30-20-6 · COL 35-18-5 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.5 expected goals); the Red Wings won it in overtime on Kane's goal. Alex Lyon stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.5, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
DET 3.8 xG · 30 shots
COL 3.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
1.5 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 1.2
OT
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 04:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 12:02 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Patrick Kane · OT 03:42 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 54.
DET 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 04:48 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 12:02 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Patrick Kane · OT 03:42 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.