Detroit Red Wings
DET · 33-20-6
8–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 27-22-9
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
21231138831
WSH
0526110321
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 33-20-6 · WSH 27-22-9 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Capitals
The Red Wings earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, and a 8–3 win to show for it. Charlie Lindgren allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
DET 3.8 xG · 31 shots
WSH 3.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
1.6 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shayne Gostisbehere · 1st 05:45 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 16:20 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 02:09 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 04:44 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 09:01 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Michael Sgarbossa · 2nd 16:38 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
J.T. Compher · 2nd 19:47 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 04:31 · 6–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Max Pacioretty · 3rd 07:09 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
10
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 11:49 · 7–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
11
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 14:11 · 8–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 59.
DET 59%WSH 41%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shayne Gostisbehere · 1st 05:45 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 16:20 · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 02:09 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 04:44 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 09:01 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Michael Sgarbossa · 2nd 16:38 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
J.T. Compher · 2nd 19:47 · SH · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 04:31 · PP · 6–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Max Pacioretty · 3rd 07:09 · PP · 6–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
10
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 11:49 · 7–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
11
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 14:11 · 8–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/31 saves · 8 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.