DET
3–5
NYI
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 33-21-6
3–5
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 25-20-14
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0619210325
NYI
2907311527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 33-21-6 · NYI 25-20-14 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.5 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 3–5. Alex Lyon allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 25 shots
NYI 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 12:11 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Casey Cizikas · 1st 16:18 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Olli Maatta · 2nd 05:04 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Patrick Kane · 3rd 00:10 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 05:04 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Olli Maatta · 3rd 10:49 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 13:58 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 19:24 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 53.
DET 53%NYI 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 12:11 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Casey Cizikas · 1st 16:18 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Olli Maatta · 2nd 05:04 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Patrick Kane · 3rd 00:10 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 05:04 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Olli Maatta · 3rd 10:49 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 13:58 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 19:24 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Shayne Gostisbehere, Daniel Sprong · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–3
7
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
