Detroit Red Wings
DET · 34-27-6
4–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-31-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0821226426
BUF
1100808126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–1
DET 34-27-6 · BUF 32-31-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–1
Red Wings beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Red Wings won 4–1. James Reimer stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 26 and 26 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 26 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 11:22 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Christian Fischer · 2nd 05:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Patrick Kane · 2nd 17:40 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Daniel Sprong · 3rd 13:52 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:53 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 50.
DET 50%BUF 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 11:22 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Christian Fischer · 2nd 05:35 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Patrick Kane · 2nd 17:40 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Daniel Sprong · 3rd 13:52 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:53 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.