DET
6–3
NYI
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 36-28-6
6–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 29-25-15
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
073938624
NYI
0919218336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–1
DET 36-28-6 · NYI 29-25-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–1
Red Wings beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.9 expected goals); the Red Wings won 6–3. Ilya Sorokin allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 24 and 36 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 24 shots
NYI 2.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Christian Fischer · 2nd 11:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Mike Reilly · 2nd 13:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Copp · 2nd 16:00 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 18:08 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 05:12 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Patrick Kane · 3rd 06:22 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 09:34 · 5–2 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
8
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 11:20 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 16:15 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 44.
DET 44%NYI 56%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Christian Fischer · 2nd 11:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Mike Reilly · 2nd 13:25 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Copp · 2nd 16:00 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 18:08 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 05:12 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Patrick Kane · 3rd 06:22 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 09:34 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
8
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 11:20 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 16:15 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
