DET
3–1
BUF
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 38-31-8
3–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 37-36-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
3100707324
BUF
110011017138
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–1
DET 38-31-8 · BUF 37-36-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–1
Red Wings beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.5 to 3.0 expected goals); the Red Wings won 3–1. Alex Lyon stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 3.0, on 24 and 38 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 24 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 00:53 · 1–0 · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Patrick Kane · 1st 04:24 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 1st 07:37 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:16 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 43.
DET 43%BUF 57%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 00:53 · 1–0
Snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Patrick Kane · 1st 04:24 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 1st 07:37 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:16 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Unassisted · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
