Detroit Red Wings
DET · 0-1-0
3–6
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
11311118332
PIT
1731427628
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 0-1-0 · PIT 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.4 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 3–6. Ville Husso allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.4, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
DET 3.3 xG · 32 shots
PIT 3.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
1.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 03:46 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Anthony Beauvillier · 1st 15:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 02:55 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 03:53 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Marcus Pettersson · 2nd 05:28 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 12:32 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 01:42 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 08:13 · 3–5 · slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
9
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 12:21 · 3–6 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 49.
DET 49%PIT 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 03:46 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Anthony Beauvillier · 1st 15:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 02:55 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 03:53 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Marcus Pettersson · 2nd 05:28 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 12:32 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 01:42 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 08:13 · PP · 3–5
Slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
9
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 12:21 · 3–6
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/14 saves · 4 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.