Detroit Red Wings
DET · 1-3-0
2–5
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 3-0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
01216113231
NYR
29314011534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 1-3-0 · NYR 3-0-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Rangers
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.6 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 2–5. Cam Talbot allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 34 shots on goal.
DET 3.1 xG · 31 shots
NYR 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artemi Panarin · 1st 08:30 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Artemi Panarin · 1st 15:39 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 01:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 08:46 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 11:42 · 1–4 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Victor Mancini · 2nd 12:20 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
J.T. Compher · 3rd 16:41 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 58.
DET 58%NYR 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artemi Panarin · 1st 08:30 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Artemi Panarin · 1st 15:39 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 01:27 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 08:46 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 11:42 · PP · 1–4
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Victor Mancini · 2nd 12:20 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
J.T. Compher · 3rd 16:41 · PP · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
1
Vincent Trocheck, Alexis Lafrenière · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/15 saves · 0 GA · 1.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.