Detroit Red Wings
DET · 4-3-0
5–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 5-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
280636520
NJD
115114111340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 4-3-0 · NJD 5-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Devils
The Red Wings were outchanced (4.2 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 40 and 20 shots on goal.
DET 2.0 xG · 20 shots
NJD 4.2 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nico Hischier · 1st 12:11 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Christian Fischer · 1st 18:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 18:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Erik Haula · 2nd 04:59 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 09:46 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Nico Hischier · 3rd 11:41 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Patrick Kane · 3rd 16:28 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 19:48 · 5–3 · wrap around shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 19.
DET 19%NJD 81%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nico Hischier · 1st 12:11 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Christian Fischer · 1st 18:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 18:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Erik Haula · 2nd 04:59 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 09:46 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Nico Hischier · 3rd 11:41 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Patrick Kane · 3rd 16:28 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 5–3
Wrap around shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.