DET
2–1
BUF
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 5-5-1
2–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
072907223
BUF
11207013132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 5-5-1 · BUF 4-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Sabres
The Red Wings were outchanced (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Cam Talbot stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
DET 1.9 xG · 23 shots
BUF 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 11:39 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:49 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 14:38 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 33.
DET 33%BUF 67%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 11:39 · SH · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:49 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 14:38 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
