Detroit Red Wings
DET · 10-10-2
2–1
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 12-7-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
180100811227
CGY
070511201125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 10-10-2 · CGY 12-7-4 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Flames
The Red Wings earned it: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, and they won it in overtime on Raymond's goal. Cam Talbot stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 27 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 06:33 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Connor Zary · 3rd 17:12 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · OT 03:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 59.
DET 59%CGY 41%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 06:33 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Connor Zary · 3rd 17:12 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · OT 03:35 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
2
MacKenzie Weegar, Yegor Sharangovich · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.