Detroit Red Wings
DET · 10-13-4
1–2
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 15-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
01011109130
COL
1816011225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 10-13-4 · COL 15-13-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.4 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 1–2. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 30 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.7 xG · 30 shots
COL 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 10:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cale Makar · 2nd 02:44 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 18:13 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 56.
DET 56%COL 44%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 10:48 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cale Makar · 2nd 02:44 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 18:13 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.