DET
4–2
TOR
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 12-14-4
4–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 18-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
1101927426
TOR
0611514225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 12-14-4 · TOR 18-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Maple Leafs
The Red Wings earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, and a 4–2 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 3.1 xG · 26 shots
TOR 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.4 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Rasmussen · 1st 09:07 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:40 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 19:42 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Knies · 3rd 01:07 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jeff Petry · 3rd 01:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 19:58 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 61.
DET 61%TOR 39%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Rasmussen · 1st 09:07 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:40 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 19:42 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Knies · 3rd 01:07 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jeff Petry · 3rd 01:51 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
