Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-14-4
6–4
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 14-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
1113726624
PHI
1415210419
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 13-14-4 · PHI 14-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Red Wings won 6–4. Samuel Ersson allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 24 and 19 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 24 shots
PHI 2.0 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Travis Konecny · 1st 01:06 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
J.T. Compher · 1st 18:19 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 10:15 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Noah Cates · 2nd 10:40 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 16:05 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 17:27 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 03:50 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Owen Tippett · 3rd 05:39 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Patrick Kane · 3rd 07:22 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:48 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 59.
DET 59%PHI 41%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Travis Konecny · 1st 01:06 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
J.T. Compher · 1st 18:19 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 10:15 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Noah Cates · 2nd 10:40 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 16:05 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 17:27 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 03:50 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Owen Tippett · 3rd 05:39 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Patrick Kane · 3rd 07:22 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.