DET
2–5
TOR
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-18-4
2–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 22-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0130428225
TOR
31121002523
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 13-18-4 · TOR 22-12-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings fell to the Maple Leafs
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.1 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Cam Talbot allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 23 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 25 shots
TOR 3.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.0 · 1.9
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Kampf · 1st 02:29 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 08:16 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mitch Marner · 1st 19:28 · 0–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:23 · 0–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Robertson · 2nd 19:58 · 0–5 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 08:17 · 1–5 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 12:08 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 41.
DET 41%TOR 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Kampf · 1st 02:29 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 08:16 · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mitch Marner · 1st 19:28 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:23 · 0–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Robertson · 2nd 19:58 · 0–5
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 08:17 · PP · 1–5
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 12:08 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
4
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Max Pacioretty · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/2 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
