DET
4–2
WSH
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 14-18-4
4–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 24-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
4130707427
WSH
1609112227
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 14-18-4 · WSH 24-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Capitals
The Red Wings earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Red Wings owned the 1st period, 1.7 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 27 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 3.2 xG · 27 shots
WSH 2.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 03:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Patrick Kane · 1st 06:44 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 12:04 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 12:35 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Lucas Raymond · 1st 14:18 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 10:27 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 62.
DET 62%WSH 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 03:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Patrick Kane · 1st 06:44 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 12:04 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 12:35 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Lucas Raymond · 1st 14:18 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 10:27 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
