Detroit Red Wings
DET · 22-21-5
4–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 24-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
217215013445
MTL
04212013229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 22-21-5 · MTL 24-20-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings beat the Canadiens
The Red Wings earned it: 4.7 expected goals to 2.6, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Red Wings owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 1.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 45 and 29 shots on goal.
DET 4.7 xG · 45 shots
MTL 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 13:00 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 19:56 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Copp · 2nd 04:25 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Kirby Dach · 2nd 05:29 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:50 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
6
Kaiden Guhle · 2nd 11:06 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 77.
DET 77%MTL 23%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 13:00 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 19:56 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Copp · 2nd 04:25 · SH · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Kirby Dach · 2nd 05:29 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:50 · PP · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
6
Kaiden Guhle · 2nd 11:06 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.