Detroit Red Wings
DET · 28-22-5
3–6
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 30-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
21011908337
TBL
470526618
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 28-22-5 · TBL 30-20-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings fell to the Lightning
The Red Wings created the better chances (3.9 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 3–6. Alex Lyon allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 37 and 18 shots on goal.
DET 3.9 xG · 37 shots
TBL 2.1 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 01:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Erik Cernak · 1st 02:56 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 09:47 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Brayden Point · 1st 11:49 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nick Paul · 1st 15:13 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Patrick Kane · 1st 16:54 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 14:29 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Dylan Duke · 3rd 04:10 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:57 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 77.
DET 77%TBL 23%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 01:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Erik Cernak · 1st 02:56 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 09:47 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Brayden Point · 1st 11:49 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nick Paul · 1st 15:13 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Patrick Kane · 1st 16:54 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 14:29 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Dylan Duke · 3rd 04:10 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:57 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/14 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
1/3 saves · 2 GA · 0.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.