Detroit Red Wings
DET · 28-22-6
3–4
Final / OTL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 34-19-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
181151502330
MIN
0121721713439
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 28-22-6 · MIN 34-19-4 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Wild
The Red Wings let a 2–0 lead get away: the Wild came back with four unanswered goals — Foligno's equalizer with 1:31 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Rossi's goal. The Wild owned the 3rd period, 2.1 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 3.9, on 39 and 30 shots on goal.
DET 3.9 xG · 30 shots
MIN 4.7 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
2.6 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 2.1
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 07:54 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 05:41 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
3
Vinnie Hinostroza · 2nd 08:05 · 2–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
4
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 00:22 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 13:07 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:29 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Marco Rossi · OT 03:35 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 39.
DET 39%MIN 61%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 07:54 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 05:41 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
3
Vinnie Hinostroza · 2nd 08:05 · PP · 2–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
4
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 00:22 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 13:07 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:29 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Marco Rossi · OT 03:35 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.