Detroit Red Wings
DET · 30-26-6
2–4
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 28-25-9
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
215014011240
UTA
161726419
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 30-26-6 · UTA 28-25-9 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Mammoth
The Red Wings created the better chances (4.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Karel Vejmelka stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 40 and 19 shots on goal.
DET 4.4 xG · 40 shots
UTA 2.6 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.1 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 02:08 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 03:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 08:49 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 13:01 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 02:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 07:51 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 75.
DET 75%UTA 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 02:08 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 03:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 08:49 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 13:01 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 02:55 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 07:51 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Alexander Kerfoot, Michael Kesselring · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.