DET
7–3
BUF
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 31-28-6
7–3
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 25-33-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
31011039729
BUF
291908326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–1
DET 31-28-6 · BUF 25-33-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–1
Red Wings beat the Sabres
The Red Wings earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 7–3 win to show for it. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 29 and 26 shots on goal.
DET 4.9 xG · 29 shots
BUF 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 07:38 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Marco Kasper · 1st 12:36 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 15:40 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Patrick Kane · 1st 19:07 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Josh Norris · 1st 19:25 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 10:54 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Zach Benson · 2nd 18:12 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Patrick Kane · 3rd 01:36 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
9
Marco Kasper · 3rd 05:39 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Moritz Seider · 3rd 14:31 · 7–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 85.
DET 85%BUF 15%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 07:38 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Marco Kasper · 1st 12:36 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 15:40 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Patrick Kane · 1st 19:07 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Josh Norris · 1st 19:25 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 10:54 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Zach Benson · 2nd 18:12 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Patrick Kane · 3rd 01:36 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
9
Marco Kasper · 3rd 05:39 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Moritz Seider · 3rd 14:31 · PP · 7–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/29 saves · 7 GA · 4.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
