Detroit Red Wings
DET · 33-33-6
3–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 38-28-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0160939334
OTT
2811717432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–3
DET 33-33-6 · OTT 38-28-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–3
Red Wings fell to the Senators
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.4 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 3–4. Alex Lyon allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.4, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
DET 3.3 xG · 34 shots
OTT 3.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
2.0 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 2.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Chabot · 1st 05:49 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 13:01 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
David Perron · 2nd 01:33 · 0–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Patrick Kane · 3rd 05:25 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Michael Amadio · 3rd 08:44 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 11:50 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:30 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 49.
DET 49%OTT 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Chabot · 1st 05:49 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 13:01 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
David Perron · 2nd 01:33 · 0–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Patrick Kane · 3rd 05:25 · PP · 1–3
Deflected shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Michael Amadio · 3rd 08:44 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 11:50 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:30 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
7/10 saves · 3 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.