DET
5–3
CAR
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 35-33-7
5–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 46-25-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
272717521
CAR
07216110333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 35-33-7 · CAR 46-25-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings beat the Hurricanes
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.2 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 21 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ben Chiarot · 1st 09:03 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Marco Kasper · 1st 09:29 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 01:57 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Patrick Kane · 2nd 09:05 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 09:26 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Eric Robinson · 2nd 12:36 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brent Burns · 3rd 12:44 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 19:59 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 38.
DET 38%CAR 62%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ben Chiarot · 1st 09:03 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Marco Kasper · 1st 09:29 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 01:57 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Patrick Kane · 2nd 09:05 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 09:26 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Eric Robinson · 2nd 12:36 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brent Burns · 3rd 12:44 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
