Detroit Red Wings
DET · 38-35-7
6–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-25-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
214010413637
DAL
1721417428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 38-35-7 · DAL 50-25-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Stars
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.8 to 2.8 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 37 shots on goal.
DET 2.8 xG · 37 shots
DAL 3.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Albert Johansson · 1st 04:27 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Lian Bichsel · 1st 07:15 · 1–1 · poke shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 13:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 09:00 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Colin Blackwell · 2nd 11:25 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Jonatan Berggren · 3rd 01:15 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Moritz Seider · 3rd 04:19 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 09:49 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 12:56 · 5–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
10
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 18:04 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 35.
DET 35%DAL 65%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Albert Johansson · 1st 04:27 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Lian Bichsel · 1st 07:15 · 1–1
Poke shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 13:52 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 09:00 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Colin Blackwell · 2nd 11:25 · SH · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Jonatan Berggren · 3rd 01:15 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Moritz Seider · 3rd 04:19 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 09:49 · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 12:56 · 5–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
10
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 18:04 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.