Detroit Red Wings
DET · 1-1-0
6–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
01331537635
TOR
280916323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 1-1-0 · TOR 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Maple Leafs
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Red Wings erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Raymond's equalizer — and won 6–3. The Red Wings owned the 1st period, 1.5 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
DET 3.4 xG · 35 shots
TOR 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 02:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Nicolas Roy · 1st 12:29 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Marco Kasper · 2nd 08:56 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:55 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 18:10 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Max Domi · 3rd 02:38 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 06:45 · 4–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 18:12 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:55 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 71.
DET 71%TOR 29%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 02:27 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Nicolas Roy · 1st 12:29 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Marco Kasper · 2nd 08:56 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:55 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 18:10 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Max Domi · 3rd 02:38 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 06:45 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 18:12 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:35
Brandon Carlo· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:02
Axel Sandin-Pellikka· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:42
Auston Matthews· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:42
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Raymond scored on this power play
Minor
7
Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Power play (Ekman-Larsson, tripping) · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:21
Max Domi· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:54
Bobby McMann· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:54
Simon Edvinsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:56
Jonatan Berggren· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Red Wings went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Maple Leafs power plays.