DET
4–5
BUF
Final / OT · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 10-7-1
4–5
Final / OTL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 6-8-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
153150800428
BUF
151821311527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 10-7-1 · BUF 6-8-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Sabres
The Red Wings let a 4–1 lead get away: the Sabres came back with four unanswered goals — McLeod's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Samuelsson's goal. John Gibson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 28 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 3.2 xG · 28 shots
BUF 3.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrick Kane · 1st 10:23 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 10:52 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 03:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 05:56 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 08:50 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Josh Doan · 2nd 17:58 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 04:25 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 09:28 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Mattias Samuelsson · OT 01:05 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 49.
DET 49%BUF 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 9 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrick Kane · 1st 10:23 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 10:52 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 03:52 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 05:56 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 08:50 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Josh Doan · 2nd 17:58 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 04:25 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 09:28 · SH · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Mattias Samuelsson · OT 01:05 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:26
Noah Ostlund· Tripping
Noah Ostlund· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:40
Patrick Kane· Tripping
Patrick Kane· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:29
Josh Dunne· Holding
Josh Dunne· Holding
DeBrincat scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:37
Jordan Greenway· Interference
Jordan Greenway· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:23
Simon Edvinsson· Hooking
Simon Edvinsson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:37
Simon Edvinsson· High-sticking
Simon Edvinsson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Peyton Krebs· Tripping
Peyton Krebs· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:13
Jonatan Berggren· Interference
Jonatan Berggren· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
17:27
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
Overtime
Goaltending
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Red Wings went 1-for-5 on the power play and killed all 4 Sabres power plays.