DET
3–6
NSH
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-10-1
3–6
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 7-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
07210114331
NSH
1120859629
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 13-10-1 · NSH 7-12-4 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Predators
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.0 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 3–6. Cam Talbot allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 29 shots on goal.
DET 3.1 xG · 31 shots
NSH 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 15:48 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 05:30 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 16:34 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Nick Blankenburg · 3rd 02:05 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (45%)
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 02:20 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 03:04 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 14:14 · 3–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
8
Erik Haula · 3rd 14:42 · 3–5 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
9
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 18:45 · 3–6 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 51.
DET 51%NSH 49%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 10 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 15:48 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 05:30 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 16:34 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Nick Blankenburg · 3rd 02:05 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (45%)
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 02:20 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 03:04 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 14:14 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
8
Erik Haula · 3rd 14:42 · 3–5
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
9
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 3–6
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:09
Nate Danielson· High-sticking
Nate Danielson· High-sticking
Bunting scored on this power play
Minor
1
Nick Blankenburg, Erik Haula · Power play (Danielson, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:34
Alex DeBrincat· Slashing
Alex DeBrincat· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:52
Roman Josi· Hooking
Roman Josi· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:34
Roman Josi· Cross-checking
Roman Josi· Cross-checking
DeBrincat scored on this power play
Minor
2
Dylan Larkin, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Josi, cross-checking) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:45
Moritz Seider· Tripping
Moritz Seider· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:35
Steven Stamkos· Holding
Steven Stamkos· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:03
Nick Blankenburg· Cross-checking
Nick Blankenburg· Cross-checking
Riemsdyk scored on this power play
Minor
3
Patrick Kane, Nate Danielson · Power play (Blankenburg, cross-checking) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:11
Ben Chiarot· Delaying game puck over glass
Ben Chiarot· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Ben Chiarot· Roughing
Ben Chiarot· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Red Wings went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Predators power plays.